Mumbai Selections


26th March 2017

Race No.1: 
OTHELLO (14/10) LAY
KITTY HAWK (3/1) UPSET

90% of the horses worked in Treadmill are just gulping the race goers money, for that reason OTHELLO is not in my calculations.  KITTY HAWK was taken out by Geranium at closing stages in their previous outing. KITTY HAWK is a serious contender.  A place certainty. Can upset.

Race No.2: 
MISS SAIGON (16/10)  LAY
BENEZEER (3-1/2) UPSET

Which horse is better, Miss Saigon or Carbonara?  Watch reply of Race No. 160. I recall that before that particular race there was a rumour in the entire racecourse that  the race is fixed and Miss Saigon is not in the fray. Anyone watching the replay will agree  the jockey ridden to lose. Blocking, tightening for room, all these factors irrelevant because Ajinkya just wanted to enjoy the race in the bunch only. In the enquiry  trainer said he wanted an apprentice to claim allowance, hence he used Ajinkya. He raised no questions against  apprentice’s riding. That vindicate the rumour was correct and the result was purchased. One question I wish to ask the trainer Vishal Gaiwad,  if you wanted an allowance rider, why you have chosen Trevor and Neeraj in its subsequent runs?  Now coming back to their chances today, In race No. 160 Miss Saigon carried 59 Kg lost by 1.5 lengths to Carbonara, today  MS carries 1.5 Kg. Less to compensate 1.5 lengths.  Carbonara carried 56.5 Kg, today carries 3 Kg Less. Then you tell me who is better.  As per the weight handicapping, Carbonara is still better.  BENEZEER is now trying over 1400, extra 200m is within her grasp, a Place Certainty, can upset.  

Race No:  3
HURACAN (3/1) Win
OSCILLATION (2-1/2) LAY
SECRET FLAME (Not in Odds) UPSET

A difficult race to pick the winners. SECRET FLAME, OSCILLATION, ROYCE, HURACAN, BAKER STREET – one of them should win. SECRET FLAME may finish in place money, may try to upset.  I hate jockeys doing extra curricular activities on their to please a some punters. But I observe and pick the sometime the correct signals. Follow  jockey on OSCILLATION and see anything extra you noticed?

Race No. 4
HOUSE OF COMMONS (2-1/2) WIN
MAGICAL MEMORY (2-1/2) LAY

Post Derby, trainers prefer Doubles, Triples etc.  Yesterday it was Malesh Narredu and Altaf Hussain with different jockeys.  Today it could be Nirad Karanjawalla. I fancy Benezeer to House of Commons a double for the trainer.

Race No.5
WILD FIRE (3/1) WIN
STAR ANISE – A good type making her debut, note
GAZINO  (12/10)  LAY

My calculations say a straight fight between these two.  I prefer grey filly WILD FIRE because there are two grey horses in the field, it happens some time.

Race. No.6
COLOMBIANA (11/10) WIN
COMMODORE (16/10) LAY

In my calculations COLOMBIANA comes better than COMMODORE. However in such small fields, bookies favourite loses the race and Second Favourite wins. Rather than my above selections, watch the bookmakers odds five minutes before this race. If the odds are below 2/1 and both odds are close,  EAT the Favourite, and PLAY the other ONE.

Race No.  7
(Jackpot 4th leg, no recommendations, I prefer to leave this race)

Surprise, surprise, Seven horses are running with TOUNGE STRAP ON in this race. This is a record as so many trainers suddenly decided to use TS.  LA MAGNIFIQUE, LADY BE GOOD, SANDALPHON are good on previous runs.  FORTITUDE is tracking well.  ADONIJAH is making debut tracked with TRAVELYAN, the later ran yesterday finished nowhere.  MAGID DUST & MAN OF WORD are also working extremely well.

Race No.8
ROCK IN RIO (3/1) win
ROYAL SAPPHIRE (No Odds) Upset
SAMURAI (No Odds) Upset

A difficult race in which, DOUBLE NINE, ROCK IN RIO, EL TYCOON, FRINGE BENEFIT, RIOT OF COLORS, ROYAL SAPPHIRE, and SAMURAI are having chance to win this race.

Day’s Best:   

BENEZEER & HOUSE OF COMMONS

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