Mumbai Selections
26th March 2017
Race
No.1:
OTHELLO
(14/10) LAY
KITTY
HAWK (3/1) UPSET
90%
of the horses worked in Treadmill are just gulping the race goers money, for
that reason OTHELLO is not in my calculations.
KITTY HAWK was taken out by Geranium at closing stages in their previous
outing. KITTY HAWK is a serious contender.
A place certainty. Can upset.
Race
No.2:
MISS
SAIGON (16/10) LAY
BENEZEER
(3-1/2) UPSET
Which
horse is better, Miss Saigon or Carbonara?
Watch reply of Race No. 160. I recall that before that particular race there
was a rumour in the entire racecourse that the race is fixed and Miss Saigon is not in
the fray. Anyone watching the replay will agree the jockey ridden to lose. Blocking,
tightening for room, all these factors irrelevant because Ajinkya just wanted
to enjoy the race in the bunch only. In the enquiry trainer said he wanted an apprentice to claim
allowance, hence he used Ajinkya. He raised no questions against apprentice’s riding. That vindicate the rumour
was correct and the result was purchased. One question I wish to ask the
trainer Vishal Gaiwad, if you wanted an allowance
rider, why you have chosen Trevor and Neeraj in its subsequent runs? Now coming back to their chances today, In
race No. 160 Miss Saigon carried 59 Kg lost by 1.5 lengths to Carbonara, today MS carries 1.5 Kg. Less to compensate 1.5
lengths. Carbonara carried 56.5 Kg,
today carries 3 Kg Less. Then you tell me who is better. As per the weight handicapping, Carbonara is
still better. BENEZEER is now trying
over 1400, extra 200m is within her grasp, a Place Certainty, can upset.
Race
No: 3
HURACAN
(3/1) Win
OSCILLATION
(2-1/2) LAY
SECRET
FLAME (Not in Odds) UPSET
A
difficult race to pick the winners. SECRET FLAME, OSCILLATION, ROYCE, HURACAN,
BAKER STREET – one of them should win. SECRET FLAME may finish in place money,
may try to upset. I hate jockeys doing
extra curricular activities on their to please a some punters. But I observe
and pick the sometime the correct signals. Follow jockey on OSCILLATION and see anything extra
you noticed?
Race
No. 4
HOUSE
OF COMMONS (2-1/2) WIN
MAGICAL
MEMORY (2-1/2) LAY
Post
Derby, trainers prefer Doubles, Triples etc.
Yesterday it was Malesh Narredu and Altaf Hussain with different
jockeys. Today it could be Nirad
Karanjawalla. I fancy Benezeer to House of Commons a double for the trainer.
Race
No.5
WILD
FIRE (3/1) WIN
STAR
ANISE – A good type making her debut, note
GAZINO
(12/10) LAY
My
calculations say a straight fight between these two. I prefer grey filly WILD FIRE because there
are two grey horses in the field, it happens some time.
Race.
No.6
COLOMBIANA
(11/10) WIN
COMMODORE
(16/10) LAY
In
my calculations COLOMBIANA comes better than COMMODORE. However in such small fields,
bookies favourite loses the race and Second Favourite wins. Rather than my
above selections, watch the bookmakers odds five minutes before this race. If
the odds are below 2/1 and both odds are close, EAT the Favourite, and PLAY the other ONE.
Race
No. 7
(Jackpot
4th leg, no recommendations, I prefer to leave this race)
Surprise,
surprise, Seven horses are running with TOUNGE STRAP ON in this race. This is a
record as so many trainers suddenly decided to use TS. LA MAGNIFIQUE, LADY BE GOOD, SANDALPHON are
good on previous runs. FORTITUDE is
tracking well. ADONIJAH is making debut
tracked with TRAVELYAN, the later ran yesterday finished nowhere. MAGID DUST & MAN OF WORD are also working
extremely well.
Race
No.8
ROCK
IN RIO (3/1) win
ROYAL
SAPPHIRE (No Odds) Upset
SAMURAI
(No Odds) Upset
A
difficult race in which, DOUBLE NINE, ROCK IN RIO, EL TYCOON, FRINGE BENEFIT,
RIOT OF COLORS, ROYAL SAPPHIRE, and SAMURAI are having chance to win this race.
Day’s
Best:
BENEZEER
& HOUSE OF COMMONS
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